In the context of super forecasting, a brilliant puzzle solver may be at a disadvantage compared to a less intelligent person who has a strong capacity for self-critical thinking. This is because super forecasting is not just about the ability to solve complex problems, but also about how one uses this ability. Super forecasters see their beliefs as hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be guarded. They are extremely open-minded and adjust their views as often as necessary in light of new information.
Did you know it's possible to make accurate predictions about the future without psychic powers? Giv...
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