In super forecasting, hypotheses testing plays a crucial role. Super forecasters view beliefs as hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be guarded. They break down the problem into components, identify what they know and what they don't, and then test these hypotheses. They adjust their views in light of new information as often as necessary. This process of hypotheses testing helps them make precise judgments and accurate predictions.
Did you know it's possible to make accurate predictions about the future without psychic powers? Giv...
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